UFC 202 Fantasy Rewind: What you got right & wrong

Think you know how the next fight card will play out? Play UFC Pick 'Em

The UFC 202 main event between Conor McGregor and Nate Diaz may go down as one of the greatest fights of all-time, as the two rivals battled it out in an epic war over 25 minutes inside the Octagon.

McGregor surprised Diaz early with a trio of knockdowns that no one saw coming as the Irishman tagged the concrete chin of his opponent with a series of stinging combinations. Diaz powered through those setbacks, however, and came roaring back for a near finish of his own in the third round.

The final 10 minutes saw McGregor stage a miraculous comeback in round four after nearly being put away and Diaz closing the show by battering the featherweight champion against the cage and on the ground.

In the end, McGregor eked out a very close majority decision after five rounds, and while he was the favorite according to the oddsmakers, he was slightly behind Diaz when it came to UFC fantasy players.

More from UFC 202: Results | Postfight bonuses | UFC 202 Talking Points | McGregor edges Diaz in five-round epic | Anthony Johnson rumbles to win | Garbrandt romps, Pennington, Lobov also win | Larkin impresses, Covington wins late in FIGHT PASS prelims | Watch Backstage interviews: Conor McGregor, Nate Diaz, Anthony Johnson, Donald Cerrone, Mike Perry, Tim Means, Cody Garbrandt | Octagon interviews: Conor McGregor and Nate Diaz, Anthony Johnson, Lorenz Larkin | Watch the first three fights of the night on-demand on UFC FIGHT PASS | Order the UFC 202 replay

McGregor was selected by just 46 percent of players going into Saturday night, with 79 percent picking him to get the win by knockout. Still, McGregor got the job done and played a crucial part in fantasy scoring because his bout with Diaz was such a close affair for everyone picking the fight.

Anthony "Rumble" Johnson was one of the heaviest favorites going into Saturday night and he certainly got the job done with a jaw-rattling knockout over Glover Teixeira that took a mere 13 seconds.

Johnson was picked by 82 percent of players, with 87 percent selecting him to win by knockout. Considering his track record, both of those options were a solid lock for Johnson to finish Teixeira by strikes and he did not disappoint.

Donald "Cowboy" Cerrone was another huge favorite for UFC 202, with 88 percent of players picking him to win, with 41 percent saying he'd knock out Rick Story during the three-round battle. Cerrone did just that with a second-round TKO over Story, who had actually never been knocked out during his entire 28-fight career until "Cowboy" did it Saturday night.

As much as Cerrone and Johnson were selected by fantasy players, the two biggest favorites all night were Tim Means and bantamweight knockout artist Cody Garbrandt.

Means was picked by 90 percent of players, with 62 percent saying he'd win by knockout, and he came through with flying colors as he battered former Ultimate Fighter competitor Sabah Homasi by TKO.

Garbrandt needed less than one minute to blast Takeya Mizugaki in a first-round drubbing, with a whopping 94 percent of players picking him to win and another 82 percent saying he'd win by knockout.

Lorenz Larkin stood tall as one of best underdogs all night after he put on a show with a first round TKO victory over No. 7 ranked welterweight Neil Magny. Larkin was picked by only 23 percent of fantasy players, with 47 percent picking him by knockout.

Newcomer Mike Perry also earned a big upset with a huge TKO win over Hyun Gyu Lim after only 28 percent of players picked him to beat the veteran Korean fighter. Following such an impressive showing, Perry will probably find a lot more players picking him to win next time.

Another huge upset occurred on the UFC 202 prelims as Cortney Casey submitted Randa Markos with a first-round armbar, with only 27 percent of players picking her to win. Both Casey and Perry helped serve a huge point swing for the players who selected them to win, especially considering how many favorites came through in the clutch on Saturday night.

At the end of the night, only five underdogs came through victorious on a 12-fight card, so those selections likely made a big difference in who came away with the top point totals for the entire card.


Jeremy Stephens talks backstage about his second-round KO win against Josh Emmett in the main event of Fight Night Orlando on FOX. Stephens tied Anderson Silva's UFC record with his 18th career knockdown in the fight.
Jeremy Stephens completed his second finish of 2018, making quick work of Josh Emmett in the main event of Fight Night Orlando. Hear from Stephens in the post fight Octagon interview.
UFC strawweight Jessica Andrade took out a game Tecia Torres in the Fight Night Orlando co-main event with a decisive decision win. Andrade spoke about the performance inside the Octagon after the bout.
Ilir Latifi collected the signature win of his career with a first-round submission win against Ovince Saint Preux. Hear Latifi call out Daniel Cormier and talk about his performance in the post fight Octagon interview.